More On: ethereum
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Ethereum's bull run continued in October, with gains reaching nearly 60% since the beginning of the month.
However, a correctional phase was in effect, with Bitcoin hitting a 12-day low of $58,000. For ETH, the emphasis has now shifted to near-term support levels of $4K and $3,650. If bulls falter at these levels, ETH could fall further to $3,500-$3,100 before rallying to a new ATH.
The closest defensive option for Eth was $4K and $3,700, but the Visible Range Profile indicated that these regions had yet to establish themselves as a reliable support zone. If bears take advantage of these cracks, the lack of demand above $3,500 would cause ETH to fall another 10% before moving to a stronger support area.
Meanwhile, there were plenty of defensive resources available for less than $3,650. A $3,350 support line has already aided ETH during a mini-correction in mid-October.
To avoid a bullish thesis, bears would need to close below the horizontal channel's mid-line and the 200-SMA (green). A potential drop all the way up to $2,700 would then pose a serious threat. A possible decline all the way up to $2,700 would then become a serious threat.
Reasoning
The current correction in ETH was long overdue, according to the daily RSI. Lower peaks along the RSI revealed a bearish divergence in relation to ETH's price action, indicating a possible decline. Indeed, ETH was headed for further losses as the MACD and Directional Movement Index approached bearish crossovers. Expect these indicators to remain above their respective half-lines, as ETH was very much in a bullish trend.
Conclusion
If ETH falls below $4,000 and $3,700, expect bulls to keep the price within a strong support zone of $3,500-$3,100. With the addition of new longs, ETH would launch another attack at $4,400, aiming for a new ATH.