With just over three weeks to go before the election in the United States, voters are faced with a strange and completely changed reality from a week ago. Last weekend, President Donald Trump announced that he had been diagnosed with COVID-19. This week there were events that few could have predicted.
Trump was admitted to Walter Reed Military Hospital on the outskirts of Washington shortly afterwards. The story did not end there, but on Twitter and in a television broadcast from the hospital's presidential office, Trump said, among other things, that he was "wonderful", that he had "not felt better for years", that there was no reason to fear COVID, and that COVID should not control people's lives.
It is believed that the root cause of the infection that is now spreading within the White House is an event that Trump held in the Rose Garden at the White House on September 26. Trump announced his nomination of Amy Coney Barrett as a Supreme Court justice who was released following the resignation of Ruth Bader Ginsburg earlier this month. At least ten have been diagnosed with infections that were at that event.
Aside from the obvious blow to being diagnosed with a virus that has killed more than 200,000 Americans in just a few months, the Trump political blow is heavy. Almost since the beginning of the epidemic, Trump has downplayed him and experts 'responses, downplayed the Democrats' response in cities like New York, which fared badly from the epidemic, and mocked the masked use of his rival, Democrat Joe Biden.
Slam on slam on top
Trump's political clash is multifaceted. In addition to the emergency situation of being infected after all of the above, three Republicans in the Senate are infected with COVID. It is now clear that committee meetings in the Senate will have to be postponed in accordance with the rules on the confirmation of nominated judges in the Supreme Court. It is unknown at this time what he will do after leaving the post. It would be a great victory for Trump to bring Barrett to the presidency before the election, as it would strengthen both his position among his Conservative and Christian wing parties, and it will undoubtedly put the issues that make Barrett controversial back on the agenda. Technically, Trump and his allies have until January 20 next year to complete the confirmation of Barrett, and for another four years, Trump should win. However, it is clear that they will try their best to complete the task before November 3, election day.
Trump desperately needs to put the issues on the agenda and move the discussion from COVID. As mentioned earlier, 200,000 deaths and millions of cases have occurred across the country. The country's economy has suffered a setback, and after pictures of him appearing, unrestrained, blatantly weak, many Americans may ask themselves: If he can not protect himself, how can he protect me?
The third political clash is that he is now trapped inside. From the beginning, Trump has sought his strength in mass rallies. There he obviously enjoys himself best, surrounded by supporters and in those circumstances he has attracted the most attention. This is perhaps best illustrated by the fact that so far all of Trump's "big issues" in the 2016 election campaign, the wall on the Mexican border, tougher immigration policies, protecting American jobs and securing more favorable trade agreements for the nation were all announced in that forum.
Trump's election campaign is now mostly taking place on Twitter. Trump has even had to reduce his advertising campaign due to a lack of funds in the candidacy.
Advance Bidens increases
Trump has been on the defensive all year, and Biden's support for his formal nomination as the Democratic presidential candidate has consistently outperformed Trump's. Trump was therefore not allowed to attend this week's events. But as DV went over in the last issue, it is first and foremost the results of individual countries that matter. Trump became president in 2016 with a minority of votes. Therefore, it is not out of the question to look at Trump's position by state.
As so often before, it is likely that Trump's re-election will stand and fall with Florida. According to opinion polls conducted after last week's adventurous debates, Biden is increasing his lead across the country. It remains almost inconceivable that Trump will win the election without a victory in Florida. That is not enough. He would have to turn Pennsylvania, Georgia, Ohio, Michigan and North Carolina to him. It will prove to be more difficult for him. Opinion polls show Biden with a majority in all of these states. However, Trump's unlikely tool is likely and it is clear that Republicans have not, and will not, give up.
Make an effort to stay in the Senate
A majority in the Senate is also up for grabs in the next election. Polls suggest Republicans may be losing their majority in the upper division. If the Republicans lose the White House and the Senate, Biden will have a fairly strong vegan diet into his first term. Barack Obama, Trump's predecessor in the White House, received a similar vegan meal but was thought to have misused it. The last Democrat to enjoy that luxury before Obama was Bill Clinton in his first two years in office, 1993-1995.
About 35 seats in the Senate are up for grabs this time around, and opinion polls suggest Democrats have a landslide victory in 14 of them and Republicans in 18. More Republicans are now defending their seats than Democrats and the election are losing Republicans. According to opinion polls as they stand today, Democrats have 49 seats and Republicans 48. There is too little difference between the candidates in Montana, Iowa and North Carolina to be able to predict the results in any way. May the people of these three countries therefore expect to see all advertising space in newspapers, television and the Internet under election propaganda.