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        <title><![CDATA[Analysis: It's 'foolish' to say Bitcoin can't drop below $10K]]></title>
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        <link>https://usagag.com/2022/06/24/analysis-its-foolish-to-say-bitcoin-cant-drop-below-10k/</link>
        <lastBuildDate>Fri, 24 Jun 2022 02:18:00 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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            <media:title type="html">Analysis: It's 'foolish' to say Bitcoin can't drop below $10K</media:title>
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        <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On June 23, Bitcoin (BTC) saved $20,000 for another day, with calls for another 20% drop still circulating.</p>
<figure class="image"><img  data-src="/uploads/2022/06/24/2d66340f-cc33-405a-89b5-8018cf407d3d.png" alt="BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView" width="640" height="363" />
<figcaption>BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView</figcaption>
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<h3>Bitcoin under $10,000 is not unattainable.</h3>
<p><a href="https://pro.cointelegraph.com/?via=markets&amp;_ga=2.34450468.464203082.1656037124-334461721.1650869027">Data</a> from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView <a href="https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSD/?exchange=BINANCE">showed</a> BTC/USD fluctuating just above $20,000 in the 24 hours leading up to the time of writing.</p>
<p>As usual, the behavior mirrored movements in the US equity markets, which remained flat on the day.</p>
<p>Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks provided only brief volatility. Powell's congressional testimony, according to Cointelegraph, provided no new information on macroeconomic policy.</p>
<p>As a result, crypto commentators stuck to previous assertions: the outlook was uncertain, but a potential new drawdown might only involve a trip to $16,000.</p>
<p>"$BTC is consolidating in a broad range and then rising. MDD (maximum drawdown) is not as large as -20 p "Ki Young Ju, CEO of on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, wrote in part on Twitter.</p>
<p>Ki retweeted analysis from popular account Il Capo of Crypto, whose BTC forecasts have long predicted price declines.</p>
<p>Ki claimed in a separate post that "most Bitcoin cyclic indicators are saying the bottom" is in, and that shorting BTC at current levels is therefore risky.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">Most <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Bitcoin</a> cyclic indicators are saying the bottom.<br /><br />Not sure how long it would take for consolidation in this range tho. Opening a big short position here sounds not a good idea unless you think that <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$BTC</a> is going to zero.<br /><br />Live Dashboard 👇<a href="https://t.co/HyTvRA6QrW">https://t.co/HyTvRA6QrW</a> <a href="https://t.co/HYbjliokIq">pic.twitter.com/HYbjliokIq</a></p>
&mdash; Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) <a href="https://twitter.com/ki_young_ju/status/1539769598450581505?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 23, 2022</a></blockquote>
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<p>"I'm not sure how long it would take for this range to consolidate. Opening a large short position here does not seem like a good idea unless you believe $BTC will fall to zero "He wrote something.</p>
<p>However, there was reason to be more risk averse when monitoring resource Material Indicators.</p>
<p>"At this point, nobody can say with certainty whether BTC will hold this range or if it will ever return to sub-$10,000 price levels, but it would be foolish not to plan for that possibility," a tweet argued.</p>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p dir="ltr" lang="en">At this stage, nobody can say with certainty whether <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#BTC</a> will hold this range or if it will go to sub $10k price levels ever again, but it would be foolish not to have a plan for that possibility. "Never" doesn't age well in <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/crypto?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#crypto</a>. Plan accordingly. <a href="https://t.co/iCsO8yQgDB">https://t.co/iCsO8yQgDB</a> <a href="https://t.co/8WoLYJQqvG">pic.twitter.com/8WoLYJQqvG</a></p>
&mdash; Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) <a href="https://twitter.com/MI_Algos/status/1539672755502727169?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">June 22, 2022</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote>
<p><em>"'Never' doesn't age well in crypto. Plan accordingly."</em></p>
</blockquote>
<h3>The Fed has no plans to "de-COVID" its balance sheet.</h3>
<p>In new macro news, rising natural gas prices on a dwindling supply outlook put additional pressure on the Eurozone.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, Powell made new comments about the Fed's monetary tightening policy in the United States.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm">According</a> to media <a href="https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1540013231518916611">reports</a> at the time of writing, the central bank's balance sheet reduction now only planned to shave up to $3 trillion off its near $9 trillion in asset purchases.</p>
<p>Since February 2020, the Fed's balance sheet has grown by $4.8 trillion, implying that even after the reductions, it will be larger than it was before the pandemic.</p>
<figure class="image"><img  data-src="/uploads/2022/06/24/9e59974d-fca5-4ddb-970f-6d0c6e3c2d54.png" alt="Federal Reserve balance sheet chart (screenshot). Source: Federal Reserve" width="640" height="389" />
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<figcaption style="font-style: italic;"><em>Federal Reserve balance sheet chart (screenshot). Source: Federal Reserve</em></figcaption>
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<p>Meanwhile, despite rampant inflation, the European Central Bank's balance sheet reached new all-time highs this week.</p>
<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/sPQCGcnCaiw" frameborder="0" width="600" height="315"></iframe></p><script async="" src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script>]]></content:encoded>
                <dc:creator><![CDATA[Sam byFord]]></dc:creator>
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